@NateSilver538 that would be true if the "fuck-ups" were uncorrelated errors, but that is clearly not the case. on any given topic you'd be able to guess which "direction" they got it wrong in 95%…

Posters: myhandle. myhandle

5 likes recorded by the source corpus.

Topics: Epistemics

View Post: https://x.com/myhandle/status/1714738439256428881